Description

This analysis provides a forecast of RIOT prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-03-30 5.521540 6.296594 7.151869 8.167423 9.342670 10.662618 12.261138
2025-04-06 4.430126 5.422292 6.604556 8.123553 10.032568 12.364135 15.445668
2025-04-13 3.741443 4.820898 6.181435 8.034500 10.511695 13.735613 18.292422
2025-04-20 3.378502 4.541666 6.077463 8.273807 11.366950 15.616329 21.980213
2025-04-27 3.080150 4.293122 5.959776 8.445880 12.109636 17.387861 25.708504
2025-05-04 2.880809 4.148038 5.952977 8.750507 13.048040 19.516587 30.211853
2025-05-11 2.575138 3.811516 5.627148 8.534990 13.164529 20.402345 32.878487
2025-05-18 2.343118 3.557438 5.391821 8.420670 13.406890 21.485895 35.972992
2025-05-25 2.149355 3.340922 5.188748 8.327764 13.659851 22.595011 39.228900
2025-06-01 1.970262 3.129480 4.971103 8.183018 13.800372 23.514647 42.248003
2025-06-08 1.806671 2.927682 4.748998 8.004421 13.855510 24.278341 45.060568
2025-06-15 1.755496 2.906212 4.821191 8.335509 14.840937 26.808014 51.555068
2025-06-22 1.665005 2.812104 4.764525 8.437734 15.429773 28.691565 57.089925
2025-06-29 1.559217 2.682447 4.634412 8.392428 15.734387 30.064422 61.775390
2025-07-06 1.456930 2.550253 4.487788 8.300169 15.934348 31.246863 66.215722
2025-07-13 1.412241 2.517941 4.518668 8.548152 16.833605 33.948670 74.391627
2025-07-20 1.361350 2.469686 4.515057 8.726476 17.607233 36.475822 82.552040
2025-07-27 1.331075 2.457372 4.577643 9.042200 18.701702 39.824506 93.179332
2025-08-03 1.239266 2.320028 4.387182 8.818828 18.607459 40.516840 97.400454
2025-08-10 1.166930 2.215323 4.252765 8.700350 18.731237 41.718349 103.092105
2025-08-17 1.102734 2.122059 4.133983 8.604067 18.893900 43.027582 109.267981
2025-08-24 1.038046 2.023232 3.996398 8.454070 18.916040 44.000577 114.692952
2025-08-31 0.974874 1.923181 3.848952 8.269003 18.835918 44.711932 119.507564